Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?
Plus
15
Ṁ24232026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of Q1 2024 Antarctica is the only continent without high speed fiber optic cable. Resolves YES if McMurdo station is connected to the internet in this manner by the end of 2026.
https://www.theverge.com/2021/11/23/22765471/antarctica-internet-mcmurdo-station-research
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McMurdo_Station
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?24%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
24% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
19% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
9% chance
Will I be able to purchase internet with speeds of 500 Gbps in the NYC area by the end of 2029?
47% chance
Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?
77% chance
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
5% chance
Will I be able to purchase internet with speeds of 1 Tbps in the NYC area by the end of 2029?
14% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 24 hours occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance