Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030 | Manifold

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

Plus

26

Ṁ2903

2031

88%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Recently humans have been closing the time gap between the world record Super Mario Bros speedrun, and the Tool Assisted Speedrun (TAS) theoretical optimal time for the game. It is possible that a human will complete a full perfect run of the game in the future, and tie the TAS time.

Link: https://twitter.com/summoningsalt/status/1755314279715398099

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

The only way this doesn't happen is if the community essentially dies. With regular events like PACE encouraging lots of people to speedrun the game, and with Youtubers like Kosmic promoting it, it's bound to happen.

Not going to bet rn but imo this will 100% happen. SMB runners are a different breed trust me.

Related questions

Will a bot capable of completing Super Mario Bros. be created before the end of 2024?

Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h34m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h33mXXs)

Who will hold the record for Super Mario 64 120 star at the end of 2024?

Will the world record for the Majora's Mask any% NMG speedrun category be faster than 1:12:00 by the end of 2024?

Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?

Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)

Will a human player reach level 255 in NES Tetris by 2027?

Will a TAS for Super Mario Bros (NES) improve upon the currently best known TAS before 2026?

Related questions

Will a bot capable of completing Super Mario Bros. be created before the end of 2024?

Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?

Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h34m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h33mXXs)

Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)

Who will hold the record for Super Mario 64 120 star at the end of 2024?

Will a human player reach level 255 in NES Tetris by 2027?

Will the world record for the Majora's Mask any% NMG speedrun category be faster than 1:12:00 by the end of 2024?

Will a TAS for Super Mario Bros (NES) improve upon the currently best known TAS before 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules