Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?
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Ṁ50682028
71%
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Resolves 'Yes' if a foldable phone designed and sold by Apple is available to purchase by consumers in North America before January 1st, 2028.
(Pre-orders would not count.)
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@Nikos A commenter there also linked this article saying that they are working on it. https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-develops-a-foldable-clamshell-iphone
bought Ṁ30 YES from 47% to 53% 1y
@JimHays Hmm. I assumed it would be a folding screen (since current and previous iPhones have all essentially been large touchscreens), but good question!
Considering that others have already traded on this market, let's say that any folding hardware component that's part of the core structure of the device qualifies.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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