will this tweet hold up: Humans will fly to Mars in 50 months [27 Dec, 2028]
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per this tweet:
Will Starship make its first manned flight to Mars by December 27, 2028?
market resolves when Starship makes its first flight to Mars with at least one human on board. Starship must land on Mars with a human alive on board - any incidents between takeoff and arrival that compromise the ship (and preclude it from landing) or result in no living human being on the ship when it does arrive on the Red Planet will not count for a Yes resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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