according to recent news, tax filings show that Elon Musk aims to open a STEM-focused K-12 school in Austin, Texas. It sounds like the school expects an initial enrolment of 50 students and still needs to hire staff as well as (presumably) break ground on a physical site for the school itself.

Elon does a lot of things, but he also says a lot of things. this market will resolve for reasonable progress on a STEM-centric K-12 school in Austin in 2024. the school doesn't need to open in 2024, but it does need to be objectively on its way with hirings, building progress, and indication of enrolment (including news that this school will serve his Austin-area staff should he progress with a town to serve his employees).

I will resolve (early) any time in 2024 at my discretion if it looks like the school is established with the above criteria and on track to open.