This market is about whether I will study for 180 minutes per day, *between 3 July and 31 July 2025 and except in special circumstances as outlined in the rules below. It's a commitment device to help me build a consistent learning habit.
Market Conditions:
Timeframe
3 July 2025 to 31 July 2025
Baseline Rule
The daily minimum is 180 minutes.
Excess Minutes Rule
Any minutes studied beyond the daily minimum will be saved and can be used in increments of 180 minutes to skip a future day.
Excess minutes do not expire, can be accumulated and may be carried over to follow-up markets.
Special Circumstances
On days when physical illnesses, injuries or external circumstances hinder me in fulfilling this commitment, the minimum is 60 minutes. If I do not fulfil this minimum in such a case, the resolution is NO.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves NO if the minimum is not met on any day without special circumstances; otherwise resolves YES after 31 July 2025.
Additional Notes:
I'm starting with 432 excess minutes from previous markets.
The study material will consist of textbooks, video lectures and online courses on law, learning techniques, 10-finger typing practice and Anki learning cards
I plan to renovate my home and may count that as special circumstances
I will not trade on this market
Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the home renovation is being treated as a special circumstance. The daily study minimum is therefore reduced to 60 minutes for the duration of the renovation work.
1,000
3.00@Tarl 252. Looking kind of shaky though. Last Friday, I got into an unpleasant situation related to my studies, which put me off for a while. The situation has since been resolved. However, I have taken this as an opportunity to get on with my renovation work, as I have set this as a possible "special circumstance". So I only had to study 60 minutes per day while I painted my bathroom this weekend and I'm thinking I should continue until the whole flat is finally finished.