Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Trudeau:
• Announces his resignation as Prime Minister of Canada, OR
• Ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time between December 22, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
If Trudeau announces his resignation but remains in office beyond March 31, 2025, the market will still resolve to “Yes” immediately upon the announcement.
Resolution Source:
• Primary source: Official statements from Justin Trudeau or the Government of Canada.
• Secondary: Consensus from credible media outlets and reporting.
If no such announcement or change occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”
"Justin Trudeau announces resignation as Canadian prime minister"
"Justin Trudeau resigns as leader of Canada's governing party after nearly a decade as prime minister"
"Trudeau says in a news conference in Ottawa that he will stay on as PM until a new Liberal Party leader is chosen"
@PaulHan From the description "If Trudeau announces his resignation but remains in office beyond March 31, 2025, the market will still resolve to “Yes” immediately upon the announcement."