Will a reliable useful neural device that transmits information about users thoughts be released before the end of 2028?
Plus
18
Ṁ16282028
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if before the end of 2028, there was a public release of a device that is capable of transmitting useful data of at least 100 unique controls and at least the rate 10 controls/s, that can be directly transmitted into digital form.
By a control, I mean a signal that can be with more than 97 % reliability detected and individually activated by the user. A unique control can be even a single word.
Release would be considered, if in at least one state the public can buy that product.
Otherwise no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
I'm pretty sure the market is a lot lower than it should be: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DBYY3D1gkQ0
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2024?🧠🕵️
4% chance
Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?
32% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? 🧠🕵️
36% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2025?🧠🕵️
18% chance
By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?
44% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?
64% chance
Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?
37% chance
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
59% chance
Will a hardware AI device by Jonny Ive and OpenAI be released before 2025?
14% chance