Will my primary grace and I get married by 2024?
Plus
23
Ṁ1431Jan 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if Grace and I have had a wedding by January 1, 2024, or if our wedding was delayed due to circumstances beyond our control.
Feb 12, 9:26am: "Circumstances beyond our control" include cancellation due to a pandemic, a really cool venue only being available in February 2025, or similar, but does not include intending to get married with no particular plans.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will I [Jose] date someone before end of 2024?
22% chance
Will I be married by end of 2024?
25% chance
Will I get married by the end of 2030?
60% chance
Will I get married by 2027?
28% chance
Will I be part of a wedding party before the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will two people who first meet in person at Manifest 2024 be married by EOY 2025?
49% chance
Will I get married by the end of 2035?
73% chance
Will I get married by 2035?
69% chance
Will I get married by 2030?
55% chance
Will I attend any weddings in 2024?
16% chance