The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people. This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar committed genocide against the Rohingya, and "No" otherwise.

In order for this question to resolve yes, the ICJ needs to rule that Myanmar committed genocide. A ruling that Myanmar breached the Genocide Convention or even that its forces committed acts of genocide (as in the Croatia vs Serbia) does not count. See this market https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-the-icj-determine-that-myanmar?play=true on whether Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention.