Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
3
𝕊292029
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Robincvgr no, only elective retirements. this is about people choosing to step down.
Edit: updated the description to be crystal clear
bought Ṁ10 NO from 74% to 73%
Related questions
Related questions
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
1% chance
Will Trump finish his second term?
79% chance
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
54% chance
Will a second U.S. Supreme Court Justice publicly announce they are retiring any time during President Biden's first term in office?
15% chance
Will any U.S. Supreme Court justice resign or retire in 2024?
9% chance
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
17% chance
Which US Supreme Court justices will recuse themselves from a case during 2024?
Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2025 presidential inauguration?
7% chance