Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months? | Manifold

Will the Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Study by the LEVF succeed in increasing mouse lifespan 12 months?

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Link to the study can be found here Robust Mouse Rejuvenation - Study 1 — LEV Foundation

Details:

The Longevity Escape Velocity Foundation is a foundation trying to cure ageing. At the beginning of 2023 they are starting "a sequence of large mouse lifespan studies" to determine if their interventions can substantially increase mouse lifespan.

I will be resolving Yes if the study achieve "Robust Mouse Rejuvenation" which they define as an intervention that:

is applied to mice of a strain with a historic mean lifespan of at least 30 months
is initiated at an age of at least 18 months
increases both mean and maximum lifespan by at least 12 months

I resolve to No if this study does not manage to achieve "Robust Mouse Rejuvenation" or if the trial is stopped for some reason or if they say they have succeeded but it is obvious to everyone that they are lying for some reason.

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The results from the March update are quite impressive. The interventions seem to be working but not enough to rejuvenate the average lifespan by 12 months...

What do you think of the current results after around one year that the study is going?

Since no one is biting @ 30%, I've put M1000 @ 40% as well

Put up M1000 Yes @ 30% if anyone wants to take a larger bet against me

Do only the trials that are currently active count? They've stated they are already planning more and looking for funding.

predictedYES

@AdamMcDonald Only the current ones.

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Related questions

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

Will LEVF launch their second mouse rejuvenation study in 2024?

Will a laboratory mouse reach 8 years of age by the end of 2030?

Will 1,3-butanediol significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)

Will the mouse with the higher lifespan be found from Jose Luis Ricon's Rejuvenome or Aubrey de Grey's LEVF?

Will Captopril significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)

Will any molecule be shown to extend longevity in the ITP program in 2024?

Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?

Will Retro Biosciences succeed in increasing healthy human lifespan by ten years?

By 2030, will any treatment be shown to increase human lifespan in a randomized controlled trial?

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