Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
Plus
11
Ṁ5082036
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
If it is still working, resolves Yes.
If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
No if those questions permanently stop working.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be substantive issues with Safe AI’s claim to forecast better than the Metaculus crowd, found before 2025?
72% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
82% chance
Metaculus user experience will be basically the same in 2024
41% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
45% chance
Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?
57% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2025?
93% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting at the end of 2024?
97% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
90% chance
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
56% chance