When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved? | Manifold

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Plus

41

Ṁ1623

2028

46%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

When this market resolves YES:

https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

will most manifold users think AGI really has been achieved?

Resolves to Manifold poll. Will be open for a week and boosted until it gets 100+ participants.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#Manifold Features

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I think this should resolve to N/A because they will actually all be dead before it resolves at all.

bought Ṁ50 YES

The linked market cannot resolve YES. It is a numeric.

@KongoLandwalker i know i just dont care

opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 28% order

got a 10k limit order at the market price

Comment hidden

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2041?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

Will we get AGI before 2047?

Will we get AGI before 2043?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2041?

Will we get AGI before 2047?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2043?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will we get AGI before 2039?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules