Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), the pope confirms that Jesus has returned. Resolves NO otherwise.

May resolve N/A if there is no pope and, in my judgement, if there were a pope he might confirm that Jesus has returned.

Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39215917

a_longer_name on Substack

> Polymarket Second Coming of Jesus Question This is why I have a hard time taking these markets even half-seriously except for Kalshi and the old IEM. Here the question is a joke in two ways when it should only be one. A low-effort way would have been to base resolution on announcements from the Catholic Pope. The "serious" questions are way too often a joke in this way too. Question ill-defined, resolution unclear.

• Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Pope's confirmation must specifically refer to the Second Coming of Christ for the market to resolve YES.

  • If the Pope confirms the Second Coming of Christ has occurred, this would resolve YES. This includes scenarios where Christ is said to have taken the form of an AI.

  • However, if the Pope states an AI is God the Son in a different context (e.g., a new incarnation for AI sins, not identified as the Second Coming), this would not suffice for a YES resolution.