
Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset in 2025?
Plus
55
Ṁ16kDec 31
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve to YES, if in 2025 US Treasury officially recognizes Bitcoin as a reserve asset and lists bitcoin on its balances.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO8mo
I think having something so uncontrolled by Gov wouldn’t be in their interest. It may legitimise BC in a way they don’t want it to be.
But this is a guess based one one book I read years ago. Would anyone be able to correct me?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?
86% chance
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025
Will the US Federal Government Acquire Bitcoin in 2025?
19% chance
Peak Bitcoin price in 2025
Will the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
8% chance
As of January 1, 2026, will the following assets be held in a US national strategic crypto reserve?
Will the US Dollar still be the most prominent currency by the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Trump actually establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve in his first year?
92% chance
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in 2025?
9% chance
Will the US Sovereign Wealth Fund Hold Bitcoin?
57% chance