Will AIs pay people to get their fMRI/EEG scans to model their brains for superhuman persuasion? (by 2035)
Will AIs pay people to get their fMRI/EEG scans to model their brains for superhuman persuasion? (by 2035)
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once upon a time I accidentally got high on 2mg THC [of all things] and saw AI getting perfect models of all of humanity in order to construct a most perfect model of reality (using human power [and human context] to figure out the small spots where humans were still better than AI, to model the whole integrated compute better]
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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