Will there be a deadly assault on a Belgian politician in 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ669Jan 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
“Politician” is defined as any Belgian citizen that was, is or will be on an electable position in the 2019- or 2024-elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@ArmandodiMatteo It should be "deadly" to (at least) the target for it to resolve to YES.
bought Ṁ50 NO from 29% to 22%
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a civil war in Europe by the end of 2024
11% chance
Will Jean-Marie Le Pen die in 2024?
11% chance
Will Vooruit (Flemish social-democrats) be part of the Belgian federal government at the end of 2024?
74% chance
Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024?
11% chance
Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2024?
6% chance
Will the current Prime Minister of Belgium be replaced before the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will Mr. Bart De Wever be a member of any Belgian federal government or Flemish government before the end of 2024?
52% chance
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Matt Welch's prediction of deadly political violence in the US in 2024 hold up?
29% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2024?
4% chance