Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
6
Ṁ9282027
29%
OpenAI
7%
Anthropic
31%
Google / Deepmind
2%
Deepseek
19%
X / Grok
2%
Mistral
2%
Alibaba
2%
Meta
2%
Microsoft
2%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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