Will my net worth be above Ṁ200,000 in a week?
32
Ṁ10k
resolved May 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the net worth value on my profile page is greater than Ṁ200,000 at 18:00 PDT on May 24th. If there's a mismatch between the value I see and the value others see, this defaults to the figure shown when hovering over "6 PM" on the net worth graph.

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has anyone taken out a loan with a higher APR than 10²⁹⁷% before

???

@Cogsdoc Look closer

@evan I don’t follow please explain

@Cogsdoc Evan loaned me 40k for a little over 20 minutes, dipping his NW below 200k at closing time

@evan
If there's a mismatch between the value I see and the value others see, this defaults to the figure shown when hovering over "6 PM" on the net worth graph.

you didnt specify
- a time frame (1D, 1W, 1M, ALL)
- a time zone

@256 Evan did specify a time zone earlier in the description, PDT. And only 1D has enough resolution to hover on exactly 6 PM

@256 And the API is irrelevant, it says in the description that the profile page is what matters

@traders Resolves NO. Thanks for playing!

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 11% order

https://api.manifold.markets/v0/get-user-portfolio?userId=smzdPGfW29XzWkyfJfE0rDr3qYm2

balance: 107787.73374533246
investmentvalue: 122520.97090165474

@256 The reason this shows a net worth of >200k is because the API was queried after 6:00 PM, when the loan had already been repaid

@evan weirdly enough, there was only one 10 second tick in which the endpoint showed you under 200k net worth.

@evan

I am a very timely creditor

But yeah 256 that api timing is weird

for me, evan's 1d net worth display has updated but not all-time

just saying this for posterity

@Robincvgr

all time just updated actually

lookin good

bought Ṁ10 YES

Somebody loan him 200k at 5:59:59 just to spite

@ChristopherDilli I canceled my 10k limit order because I realized it would create enough liquidity for someone to get a big enough position to make gifting him mana to bring him above 200k worthwhile lol

i was entirely planning to fill robin’s Order at the last moment

ggs

bought Ṁ75 NO

@Bayesian just another reason for manifold to implement limit offers, gotta discriminate against other tricksters :p

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 16% order

@evan dont show up at manifest ever

bought Ṁ10 YES

I see what's going on

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 18% order

@nikki i dont can you help me out

sold Ṁ7 YES

@256 Evan is giving away fake loans to robin

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 20% order

@nikki Fake? They're perfectly legitimate loans, I intend to pay them off soon with interest. They're on my balance sheet. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kldrrwOFj5HGOmNaA-Bb3XPs77jzvdd6KtHr_5sMOfU/edit?usp=sharing

@Robincvgr

Also the public display of the NW counter lags behind like 20 minutes which I assume is why Evan sent them so early, to avoid resolution controversy

I was hoping people wouldn't check his payments tab and notice omae wa mou below 200k and have it visually tick over just before closing

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