Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
15
Ṁ1093
May 31
10%
Robert Prevost
Resolved
N/A
Robert Sarah
Resolved
N/A
Péter Erdő
Resolved
N/A
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
Resolved
N/A
Peter Turkson
Resolved
N/A
Matteo Zuppi
Resolved
N/A
José Tolentino Calaça de Mendonça
Resolved
N/A
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
Resolved
N/A
Pietro Parolin
Resolved
N/A
Luis Antonio Tagle

This market is a derivative of this one:

Here's how this works:
For each person listed, if he becomes the next Pope, his option will resolve the same as the linked market. His option will resolve YES if the linked market resolves YES, or NO if the linked market resolves NO.

If a candidate does not become the next Pope, his option will resolve N/A.

Basically, conditional on [candidate] becoming Pope, how likely is it that he will be considered "based"?

Example: If Matteo Zuppi becomes Pope, the Matteo Zuppi option will resolve YES if the linked market resolves YES, or NO if that market resolves NO.

If Matteo Zuppi does not become Pope, the Matteo Zuppi option resolves N/A.
Same rules apply for every candidate listed.

Feel free to add more candidates!

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ30 NO

This fell quite a bit off of the linked market. Just pushed the two markets a bit closer to each other.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Ought to be noted these should not be whether you think those are based but whether by the reference judges in that other market...

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