Feel free to add any of your own suggestions in the following format:
model name - limited/unlimited use - price
e.g. o3 mini - limited use - at least $10
Will also resolve a price as “yes” if it’s within 5% of the target price
( for example if its priced at $999 or $995 then I will count that as at least $1000 )
Will extend beyond current resolution date (Jan 2026) if o3 isn’t out by then
Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Updates:
If there is no unlimited use tier available at launch, then:
The "unlimited use not available at launch" option resolves to yes.
All other o3 unlimited options resolve to no.
If o3 is only available in an unlimited use tier, then:
All o3 limited options resolve to N/A.
1,000
3.00so if o3 unlimited use is not available at launch, what happens to the options with o3 - unlimited use - $X? do they resolve no, or do they wait until January 2026 to see if OpenAI releases an unlimited use tier later?
@JoshYou I guess another edge case, which is very unlikely, is if o3 is only available in an unlimited use tier. what happens to the o3 - limited use - $X options?
@JoshYou Good questions.
If there’s no unlimited at launch then the “unlimited use not available at launch” resolves yes and all other o3 unlimited options resolve no
If o3 is only available in unlimited (which i agree is highly unlikely given unit economics of test time compute & sam’s tweet) then all the o3 limited options would resolve N/A