
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
Plus
21
Ṁ11602030
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The monthly US unemployment rate has been 10% or more on three occasions since recording began: 2020 (14.7%), 2009 (10.0%), and 1982 (10.8%).
See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:
Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 10% or more in any month before the end of this decade?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
32% chance
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
85% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
20% chance
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
13% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
25% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
13% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
11% chance
Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?
9% chance
Will world unemployment reach 20% at any time before 2030?
23% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
32% chance