How many international student visas would the US government revoke before July?
14
Ṁ5303
resolved Apr 15

Invalid contract

Resolution source will be Inside Higher Ed's list of student visa revokes at https://www.insidehighered.com/news/global/international-students-us/2025/04/07/where-students-have-had-their-visas-revoked

As of market creation time, 449 visas were known to have been revoked. The number of visas revoked for some universities are unknown.

There are roughly 1.1 million international student visa-holders in the US. Recently, colleges and universities said some of their students have lost their F-1 or J-1 student visas—some related to their activism and participation in student-led protests against the war in Gaza, others for minor crimes.

'Above' is equivalent to '>'

See this market for the same question but with a maximum at 10k

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
reposted

Total known students: 1,179

*numbers as of 5 p.m. EDT on April 14

And this market has resolved!

See this new market if you want to continue betting, it has a range of up to 10k students

Total known students: 963

*numbers as of 11 a.m. EDT on April 12

+900 resolves YES

Total known students: 844

*numbers as of 5 p.m. EDT on April 11

oh well that escalated quickly

+800 resolves YES

bought Ṁ400 ???

This market is making me reconsider whether I should apply to the US 😬

@zsig Prediction markets advising decisions, prediction markets at their finest.

Total known students: 711

*numbers as of 10 a.m. EDT on April 11

+700 resolves YES

If number of visas revoked goes over 1,000, I will create a new market.

Total known students: 605

*numbers as of 10 a.m. EDT on April 10

+500 and +600 resolve YES.

That was quick! It was 449 yesterday! Probably a new batch of data just arrived.

@bohaska biggest changes: University of North Texas reports 27 new, University of Texas, Dallas reports 19 new, University of Michigan reports 18 additional new visa revokes

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules