Will the price of a Costco Hot Dog exceed $1.50 by the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
19
Ṁ1735
2026
6%
chance

This market resolves to YES if I can find a Costco in the US where the hot dog costs more than $1.50 by the resolution date.

It resolves to NO if I can find no such evidence.

It resolves to N/A if Costco no longer exists, or is no longer selling hot dogs.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Does this count the 0.25 cent paper cup charge levied by the city of Santa Cruz at the Santa Cruz Costco location?

Quote from Costco CEO Craig Jelinek, recounting a conversation with Costco's co-founder Jim Sinegal:

“I came to (Jim Sinegal) once and I said, ‘Jim, we can’t sell this hot dog for a buck fifty. We are losing our rear ends.’ And he said, ‘If you raise the effing hot dog, I will kill you. Figure it out.’

Emphasis mine. Yes, it's true.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules