How many US Supreme Court justices will there be in 2025?
How many US Supreme Court justices will there be in 2025?
Plus
27
Ṁ19422026
2%
92%
9
1.8%
8
0.2%
7
1.1%
13
0.3%
0
0.9%
10
1.6%
11
I'll resolve according to the number of current justices listed at resolution time on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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