Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
Plus
27
Ṁ21672029
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See: https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1787833286334480593
"BP NEEDS 70% FEWER THIRD-PARTY CODERS BECAUSE OF AI: CEO Highest paid jobs about to be hit with a neutron bomb."
This market will resolve according to this source if available: https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/software-developers.htm. If not, will look for best available parallel.
Right now, it lists 1,795,300 jobs as of 2022.
(For the record, it says average salary $130,160 or $62.58 per hour)
This resolves YES if the number listed is at least 1,800,000 jobs at resolution, however lagged that measurement might be at the time.
This resolves NO if the number listed is less than that.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
58% chance
Will the BLS predict a net decline in jobs over the occupations "Computer Programmer" and "Software Developer" by 2028?
51% chance
Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
55% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?
47% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
50% chance
Will the software engineer's salaries/ per capita GDP ratio be lower in 2026 than in 2022, per Levels.fyi?
43% chance
Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030?
72% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?
29% chance
Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in the US
87% chance