Will SSI (Ilya's company) offer a product before someone creates ASI?
Plus
58
Ṁ46182030
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Ilya's company offers ANY commercial or free product, of any kind, in violation of their mission statement not to do so, OR if their company merges with or is sold to a company that offers a product.
Resolves NO if artificial superintelligence is created or comes to be, anywhere, in any way.
Resolves NO if Ilya's company folds such that it clearly will never be part of another company or release a product.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get ASI before 2032?
44% chance
Will we get ASI before 2036?
54% chance
When will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release its first product?
What will be true of the company Safe Superintelligence (SSI) by the end of 2025? (Add Answers)
How many years from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
-
Will we get ASI before 2029?
12% chance
Will we get ASI before 2031?
33% chance
Will we get ASI before 2035?
54% chance
Will we get ASI before 2033?
47% chance
Will we get ASI before 2027?
6% chance