Will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?
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https://twitter.com/alyssamvance/status/1734995576360443933
The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using abortion pills inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.
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Someone pointed out that it's more interesting to ask this more as "how bad would a Trump win be on this front", so I made a couple of conditional markets:
https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib
https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib-4f892f44d041
Also, @DavidFWatson made this one: https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/conditional-on-republican-trifecta-7c89bb211833
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