Will BART achieve avg weekday ridership >500,000 in any month before 2026
Will BART achieve avg weekday ridership >500,000 in any month before 2026
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In 2019, BART achieved a peak of 426,758 average weekday riders, but numbers have fallen off since then (https://mtc.ca.gov/tools-resources/data-tools/monthly-transportation-statistics).
Will they be able to recover to, and then exceed previous numbers by 2025?
Market resolves YES if the final numbers BART releases for 2025 are >5 million. Market resolves n/a if those numbers aren't released for some reason.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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