At least one recent major fire in Los Angeles determined to be arson by April 30, 2025
Basic
6
Ṁ80Apr 30
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on official determinations from LAFD or law enforcement regarding the cause of recent major fires in Los Angeles County.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
How many casualties will the LA times report have resulted from the Los Angeles area fires that began January 7th 2025?
Will the cause of the Los Angeles fires be due to a terrorist attack?
9% chance
Will wildfires destroy more than 50,000 houses in the LA metro area by February 1st?
13% chance
🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
57% chance
What will be the total economic damage of the LA wildfires beginning Jan 8th 2025?
🔥Will More Than 1,327,999 Acres Burn During The 2025 California Wildfire Season?
41% chance
Was any of the major LA wildfires laid by arson and if yes, by whom?
Will large media outlets report arson as a significant contributor to the current swath of LA fires?
49% chance
Will more incendiary devices be found hidden on airplanes by May 2025?
54% chance
Will Los Angeles freeze over by 2030?
53% chance