Will Wicked: For Good (2025) gross more domestically in 2025 than Wicked (2024) grossed domestically in 2024?
Will Wicked: For Good (2025) gross more domestically in 2025 than Wicked (2024) grossed domestically in 2024?
Basic
19
Ṁ4202026
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on the-numbers, with boxofficemojo as a backup.
The key figure is the cumulative "Total Gross" figure for Dec 31 2024 for Wicked versus the same for Wicked: For Good for Dec 31 2025.
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office
Wicked (2024) had a total gross of $432,943,285 for Dec 31, 2024, so this will be the number to beat.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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