How many units will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell in 2025?
How many units will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell in 2025?
Basic
10
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99%
At least 1 million units
98.6%
At least 5 million units
92%
At least 6 million units
92%
At least 7 million units
92%
At least 8 million units
92%
At least 9 million units
92%
At least 10 million units
87%
At least 11 million units
86%
At least 12 million units
88%
At least 13 million units
81%
At least 14 million units
81%
At least 15 million units
81%
At least 16 million units
81%
At least 17 million units
81%
At least 18 million units
81%
At least 19 million units
84%
At least 20 million units
69%
At least 21 million units
69%
At least 22 million units
69%
At least 23 million units
Resolution will be based on Nintendo investor relations information releases. The release concering sales numbers up to the end of the calendar year usually comes out in February of the following year. Preliminary data from information releases in August and November 2025 which should have sales numbers up to the end of the first 3 and 6 months of the Japanese fiscal year will be used to resolve some answers early if applicable.
Please ask in the comments if you have any questions.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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