Will a large-scale EMP weapon be used in warfare in 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ1637Jan 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspiration from Matt Parlmer here:
https://twitter.com/mattparlmer/status/1760763085009371432?t=F2LHIFvi7ouUDKp8HXqxHA&s=19
Tough to determine exactly what "large-scale" means here, but a weapon sufficiently large in energy output to damage electronics on a city size area. Continuous, active jamming e.g. of satellite communications over an area would not be considered sufficiently large.
Must be used to advance a military objective - weapon tests (while concerning) are not sufficient to resolve to yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
59% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
17% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated during 2024?
7% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
7% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?
4% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat in 2024?
2% chance
Will an anti-satellite weapon be used by 2025?
18% chance