Will an AGI resolve this market by 2100?
Basic
5
Ṁ1102100
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market may be resolved YES by any AGI agent by 2100. If it has not been resolved YES by close it instead resolves NO.
By AGI I mean an AI agent which has goals that are independent of humans, and which shows intelligence on at least human level in a broad set of domains.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
68% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
33% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
27% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
19% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2025?
2% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
61% chance