This market resolves YES if George R.R. Martin announces that he is pregnant by the end of April 30, 2025 AOE. Resolution will be based on an official statement from Martin himself or reporting by reputable news sources.
Note: This market is based directly on the user's prompt but is biologically implausible for a male in his 70s.
Further note: the AI is hallucinating. This will happen.
#mpreg
References:
1,000
3.00https://xcancel.com/GRRMspeaking/status/864519628520902657#m
https://xcancel.com/GRRMspeaking/status/944237395737751552#m
The closest I've been able to find so far
Does the announcement need to be truthful or would a joke/lie count?
@TheAllMemeingEye I have no way of distinguishing the truth in this matter, and I'm also a Catholic, so some might say I have a fuzzy understanding of the difference between reality and fantasy anyway.
Hey @Romy you are the only manifold user I am aware of having recently become pregnant (due to Will my friend accidentally get pregnant before the end of February?), on the off chance you still are so, would you be interested in market manipulation for big profits?
@TheAllMemeingEye someone british is best bet, they have a mechanism called deed poll, I understand
@MingCat AGI's right around the corner, man. Trust. My favorite part of it is that the "reference" it cited is a onesie for sale on Etsy.