There are already a number of markets surrounding the potential fight between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg, but I was looking for one that combines the "Will it happen?" markets with the "Who will win?" markets.
The options should be clear - either of the two can win, it may tie, or it may not happen at all. I'm using the end of 2024 as a deadline because I dont want to keep the market going forever.
Any bet on the direct outcome of the fight is an implicit bet that the fight will indeed happen.
This market is agnostic about the specific type of fight - doesnt matter if they do Karate or Boxing, or Super Mario Smash Bros, or Chess. The only requirement is that it is a direct competition in some type of skill between the two of them - they cant get others to fight for them, and they cant have team games because that involve other participants as well. 1 vs 1 only.
If you havent heard about it, I am talking about this fight:
1,000
3.00@cloudprism Assuming that this ends the fight without a winner, I would resolve the market with the "tie" option.