Where will the next point on Earth that becomes US territory be?
6
Ṁ1402027
28%
Machias Seal Island
28%
North Rock
18%
Greenland
18%
Canada
Land reclamation inside an exclusive economic area does not count. If multiple regions intersect the new land claim, resolves YES on all of them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@spiderduckpig It's water, and the description explicitly mentions a "land claim", so I'm thinking no
The U.S. actually has several territorial disputes with several countries. Most of them are over water but there are two (Machias Seal Island and North Rock) that are disputed between the U.S. and Canada. I'm surprised U.S. media doesn't cover these disputes as much as they should though.
(see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_territorial_disputes#Americas for source)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will the next new USA state be one other than puerto rico or washington dc?
30% chance
What will be the next state to join the United States of America?
Where will the epicenter of next big earthquake be located (countries only)?
Will the USA make another territorial acquisition by EOY 2035?
19% chance
What will be the next country to come into possession of their own nuclear weapon?
What will be the next capital city to be occupied by a foreign military?
Will any land currently held by the US breakaway before 2040.
15% chance
Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?
What will be the next UN Member state?
Which country will the U.S. declare war on next?