Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045
Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045
Plus
16
Ṁ29912045
33%
Any WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers
3%
Second Flavor Hydrogen Atoms
10%
Primordial Black Holes
9%
Modified Gravity Theories
3%
Combination of particle types
1.4%
Gravitons
1.1%
MACHOS
18%
No Clear Leading Theory
6%
Matter outside of our 3D space
15%
Which theory will have the strongest experimental support for explaining dark matter by January 1, 2045?
Resolution based on consensus among peer-reviewed publications in major physics journals and statements from leading research institutions like CERN.
If multiple answers are correct, then the most specific one will be marked as correct.
Sources:
Current theories: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter
CERN research: https://home.cern/science/physics/dark-matter
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Question title says "January 2045" but description states "August 1, 2025"
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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