Will a disaster occur related to the "drones" before end of 2024?
Plus
9
Ṁ2035Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The US government's official stance on the spreading drones is that "there is no evidence they pose a threat." So, are they telling the truth, or, is the statement carefully worded to only be true about the drones themselves?
This market will resolve to YES if one hundred or more people are killed in an incident related to the "drones." Such disasters may include:
The drones themselves deploy weapons and kill people
The drones are searching for something bad that causes casualties
The drones are from an adversary who declares war or they cause retaliation
The drones create panic and riots
Otherwise, if time expires, it will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will non-human intelligence become a leading "mainstream media" theory for the cause of the "drones" before end of 2024?
10% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
What will be true about the drones observed near U.S. Air Force bases in the UK by the end of 2024?
Will a drone swarm cause havoc in a major city by 2026?
36% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will we see any major wars before the end of 2024? 🤔
24% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will anyone in the United States be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
13% chance