If Trump dies while in office, will the market go up or go down?
13
αΉ6822029
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES=UP, NO=Down
Resolution criteria:
Resolves "Yes" if, following the death (any cause) of President Donald Trump while in office, the S&P 500 Index closes higher on the first full trading day after the announcement of his death compared to its closing value on the last full trading day before the announcement. Resolves "No" if the S&P 500 Index closes lower.
Resolves "N/A" if Trump finishes his second term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Panfilo I think it would be more interesting to see what the markets would do in 1 week, as I do believe that any political uncertainty will fuck with the markets.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
25% chance
When or where will Trump die?
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
11% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
31% chance
When will Donald Trump Die
-
On which days in 2025 will Donald Trump be alive?
When will Trump die?
If Trump is assassinated will the S&P500 rise >3% in the following week?
31% chance
How much would the S&P 500 change if Donald Trump died or became severely ill (enough to step down from office)?