Resolves YES if Greta Thunberg does any one of the following before January 1, 2035:
- Is listed as a signatory to a major AI safety or pause statement (e.g., Future of Life Institute's "Pause Giant AI Experiments" open letter, Center for AI Safety's "Statement on AI Risk") 
- Is listed by an AI safety or pause organization (e.g., PauseAI, Future of Life Institute, Center for AI Safety) as a speaker, organizer, staff member, advisor, board member, or ambassador 
- Publishes an explicit call for an AI pause/moratorium or endorses AI safety/pause goals, citing existential or societal risks and advocating for risk-first governance or a development pause 
- Participates in a demonstration that primarily advocates for AI pause or AI safety goals 
This market does NOT resolve YES if:
- Her advocacy focuses exclusively on AI ethics issues (bias, fairness, transparency) without addressing existential or catastrophic risks 
- Her involvement concerns only near-term societal and economic impacts of AI (job displacement, inequality) without advocating for development pauses or safety-first approaches 
- Advocacy focused solely on AI's environmental impact (energy consumption, carbon footprint) without addressing existential/catastrophic risks 
- Criticism of AI companies for non-safety reasons (monopolistic practices, privacy violations, labor issues) 
- Advocacy for AI consciousness, sentience, or model rights/welfare 
- General criticism of technology or capitalism that happens to include AI 
- Brief or incidental mentions of AI risks within broader speeches/writings on other topics 
- Attendance at events where AI safety is discussed but not the primary focus 
- Update 2025-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Signing alone may not be sufficient. - Even if Greta is listed as a signatory to a major AI safety/pause statement, it will NOT resolve Yes if she explicitly states her support is only for environmental reasons (e.g., carbon footprint/energy use) and not due to existential/catastrophic risks. 
- The market is about her joining the AI safety/existential risk movement specifically, not just supporting similar policies for other reasons. 
 
@SqrtMinusOne If she signs a pause statement but explicitly states her reasoning is only environmental (not existential/catastrophic risk, etc.), this would not yet resolve "Yes".
The spirit of the market is about her joining the AI safety/existential risk movement specifically, not just supporting similar policies for other reasons
@Simon74fe because it's tough to prove a negative, and a simple search wouldn't be sufficient to evaluate all the criteria details.
Why do you think a mod could resolve it?
@DanHomerick Ask the "Yes" holders and a good LLM if there is any evidence it should resolve YES. Otherwise resolve it to "No".
