Which publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Which publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Plus
39
Ṁ27832030
45%
Apple
6%
Tesla
35%
Microsoft
7%
Alphabet
7%
Amazon
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@Arinbjorn How do you mean? One of the 5 companies will probably have a larger market cap than the other.
You can, actually. When you bet NO on Tesla here, others are likely to buy it back up with YES. Then, when Tesla goes bankrupt, they'll buy more NO, after which point you can sell your NO. At least, I'm pretty sure that's how it works...
@SenneVanHeghe I think the chances of Elno mistaking an IR for an XR and tanking the company, combined with the time value of (play) money early, make it an attractive proposition.
Also, the cars are lemons and the supercharger deals he's making are terrible.
@JonathanOexner Thanks. Good luck, can always try shorting the stock if you want to make real money
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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