What will be announced in the Nintendo Switch 2 Nintendo Direct? [Add Answers!]
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Plus
35
Ṁ21k
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
YES
A new Mario Kart game
Resolved
YES
Release date
Resolved
YES
4K output when docked
Resolved
YES
A new Donkey Kong game
Resolved
YES
A new NSO console is announced
Resolved
YES
NSO GameCube games
Resolved
YES
What the deal is with that C button
Resolved
NO
New 3D Mario game
Resolved
NO
Red Dead Redemption 2 port
Resolved
NO
Microsoft Flight Simulator port
Resolved
NO
Halo: Master Chief Collection port
Resolved
NO
DLSS support
Resolved
NO
OLED screen option
Resolved
NO
Ray tracing capabilities
Resolved
NO
OS themes
Resolved
NO
Metroid Prime 4 release date
Resolved
NO
New 3D Zelda tease
Resolved
NO
Launch price >=$350
Resolved
NO
Launch price >=$400
Resolved
NO
Launch price >=$450

Resolves N/A if Direct is canceled (delays OK)

To count as an "announcement", must include substantial new information. For example, a new Mario Kart game being officially announced beforehand, with this being repeated at the Direct, would not count. However, if more details about the game were announced at the Direct, this would count even if it were announced beforehand.

All answers will be up to my interpretation, though I may ask the community or option adders for clarification

Please feel free to ask me for clarification on various options.

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bought Ṁ93 NO

Thanks for betting! I'll carefully resolve the remaining options later today

bought Ṁ40 YES

Watch the Direct and bet live on Manifold TV!
https://manifold.markets/tv/87

given that very little has been announced so far, it's likely that literally nothing in this market so far will be disqualified by the "substantial new information" clause. glad to see that, makes this market easy and hopefully uncontroversial to manage lol

sold Ṁ51 YES

Interesting Ars article on the pressures that might decide pricing. While a <$350 Switch 2 seems unlikely still, I'm selling out on a high just in case they decide to price even slightly in line with the Japanese market.

For the launch prices I’d say 349.99 is not equal to 350. If no prices are announced then they all resolve NO.

@Robincvgr Does it have to be titled Mario Kart 9?

@Jubs good question! no, any new (i.e. distinctly not a rerelease/remake of MK8 or any other game) Mario Kart game would suffice

I'll edit it to be more clear, I AI generated a lot of these t_t

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