Nintendo Switch 2 prop bets [Add answers!]
Basic
43
Ṁ16k
2026
99.3%
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Mario" in the name
98.6%
Backwards compatible with physical Switch 1 games, AND allows you to play a better looking or performing version of at least one Switch 1 game with the original Switch 1 cartridge within 6 months of the console launching
98.5%
Crossplay with Switch 1 in any first-party game released within the first 6 months after launch
98.2%
Launch day system software includes a Mii maker
98.1%
A new pro controller will be released on the same day the console comes out
98%
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "World" in the name
70%
First-party Joy-Cons attach or detach using electromagnets
60%
New SKU not available at launch available within one year after release
55%
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) that also came out/is coming out for Switch 1
43%
A launch SKU has Joy-Cons that have a non-grayscale shell (as opposed to the black shells in the trailer).
24%
Launch title (game released on the same day as the system) with "Zelda" in the name
21%
Will have some kind of "achievements" or "trophies" system (under any name)
19%
Any launch SKU has a MSRP not ending in "9.99" in the US
15%
Launch day system software includes an internet browser (general-purpose browser that deliberately allows access to the wider Web, like the 3DS or Wii U browser)
13%
No launch SKU has 12GB RAM
5%
The cheapest launch SKU costs ≤$300
3%
Name of at least one launch SKU contains "XL"
2%
The Joy-Cons have inside-out tracking (via camera or LiDAR)
1.5%
Has a social media or video-sharing service called Vidmiio (announced or available by launch)

"Nintendo Switch 2" refers to Nintendo's next console that is rumored to be announced soon, regardless of whether it shares any ideas with the Nintendo Switch.

If you elaborate in the comments on what an answer means, please note to look at the comments in the answer text.

Market close date is provisional and may be extended or shortened.

  • Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Paid Upgrade Editions: Edition versions of the console that require a paid upgrade will not count as a qualifying release.

    • This means that any 'Edition' which is essentially a paid upgrade should be disregarded when determining the outcome for the market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
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bought Ṁ75 YES
bought Ṁ25 NO

@Robincvgr I don't think the Edition stuff counts if it's paid upgrades

@gigab0nus Thank you for adding this. Good market addition!

curious why people are betting this up, is there new info beyond the teaser trailer?

@retr0id also do you really mean electromagnets rather than just magnets?

@Tomoffer Yes, I really mean what I wrote. (and I'd include "electropermanent magnets" as a subset of electromagnets)

@retr0id https://kotaku.com/nintendo-switch-2-price-release-date-specs-1851773502

The magnetic Joy-Cons will stay attached to the console by forming an electric circuit, which is broken when pressing a button at the top, so they shouldn’t be falling off easily.

bought Ṁ48 YES

@wasabipesto But yeah sounds like either electropermanent or electromagnets to me, which both count under retr0id's definition (will obviously wait for more reliable info to resolve)

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 60% order

my limit order is still up ;)

@wasabipesto the exact wording in the direct was a "magnetic circuit" so it's still unknown I think

@Tomoffer "magnetic circuit" is a term of art, you can make a magnetic circuit with plain old permanent magnets

sold Ṁ776 NO

@Robincvgr unclear if that's the meaning they were using though

@Robincvgr I (and Kotaku) interpreted this slide indicating an electric current but after looking at it I'm less sure what they actually meant. This is from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VrTVeYm4iIM at 19 minutes in.

@wasabipesto Some wording on recent patents would also suggest electromagnetism but obviously no confirmation that they're actually using it https://www.polygon.com/nintendo-switch-2/520435/nintendo-joy-con-magnet-patent

@wasabipesto That slide what I was thinking about, "magnetic circuit" is a scientific term that doesn't necessarily imply electromagnets or electropermanent magnets, but I doubt they'd be using that term in its formal definition in something as public-facing as a Direct

@gigab0nus To make this a bit more specific: I mean 6 degrees of freedom (6DOF) inside-out tracking, like VR controllers. Just an IMU like in the OG Joy-Cons is not enough

Is it going to be a handheld system or will it just plug in to a TV?

@Eliza Existing leaks and such suggest it will be a hybrid like the Switch 1

@Robincvgr Which answer do I bet on?

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 10% order

M500 YES limit at 10% for anyone who wants it (NB, price was 8% for a few days until I bet it up)

@Robincvgr does this include the captive portal login applet, etc? (i.e. how would it resolve for the way the current switch system software is?)

@retr0id no. clarified in answer text - i'm thinking a general-purpose browser that deliberately allows access to the wider Web, like the 3DS or Wii U browser, not just something like the Switch's captive portal login applet

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