Resolving criteria:
1) formal war is declared (yes)
2) informal war is declared, which is commonly accepted as a war (Ukraine invasion, operation ensuing freedom, etc) (yes) - the current Israel intervention in Gaza is considered a war; the current relationship between Israel and Hezbollah is not considered a war. (Edit Oct 1, it is probably considered a war between Hezbollah and Israel now, however this does not include Iran as Iran has not joined the war)
3) 2024 ends (no)
Non resolving criteria
1) threats of war
2) minor bombing/ rocket attacks/ cyberwarfare (stuxnet would not resolve)
1,000
3.00@zsig
> The current relationship between Israel and Hezbollah is not considered a war (Edit Oct 1; it is probably considered a war now)
@RichardGao You don't mean to say whatever is going on in Lebanon is now a war between Israel and Iran, correct?
@GazDownright Israel - Hezbollah is what is considering as a war (which imo is weird because Hezbollah isn't a country so it won't fit the definition, though they did got Lebanon involved so it's hard to say, maybe are we counting Israel - Lebanon as a war even though the Lebanese government didn't cause it?)
@Choms yes, you raise a valid point. I think it's an important discussion, however perhaps a bit of an aside in terms of an Israel-Iran war maybe?
@GazDownright probably yes, I'm a YES holder but I wouldn't consider them at war yet (though it's really really tense, probably if Iran actually responds it's gonna turn hot, but theta is also decaying fast for the market so dunno, holding for now)
"We are at the height of a difficult war against Iran's Axis of Evil, which wants to destroy us." interesting.
When it is
A) formally declared
B) generally recognized as war (i.e. Russia and Ukraine, or Operation ensuing freedom)