Type of Bet:
This prediction market is based on a dichotomous outcome: either Barcellona wins or Borussia Dortmund wins.
Prize Allocation Criteria:
If one of the two teams wins during regular time (90 minutes) or extra time, the prize will be awarded to those who correctly predicted the winning team.
If the match is tied after 90 minutes, the result of the market will depend on which team qualifies for the next round—either through extra time or a penalty shootout, following Champions League knockout rules.
In other words, the “winner” in this market is always the team that ultimately advances to the next round of the tournament.
⚠️ Important: Since this is a Champions League knockout match, a draw is not possible in the context of the prediction market. One of the two teams must advance, and that team will be considered the winner for betting purposes.
➡️ Example:
If Barcellona vs Borussia Dortmund ends 1–1 after 90 minutes and Dortmund advances after penalties, the prize will go to those who bet on Borussia Dortmund.
If Barcellona wins in extra time or penalties, the prize will go to those who bet on Barcellona.
🟰 No Draw Option: Only two outcomes are possible in this market: Barcellona wins or Borussia Dortmund wins.
Update 2025-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:
Regular Time Victory: If one of the two teams wins in regular time (90 minutes), that team wins the market.
Draw Outcome: If the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes, the market will reward the team that advances to the semifinals according to UEFA rules (using aggregate score, away goals if applicable, extra time, and penalties).
Resolution Summary: A win in regular time directly wins the market; if the match is tied after regulation, the outcome is decided by which team qualifies.
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3.00@im You’re absolutely right that a draw is a possible outcome in the match itself, since this is the first leg of a two-legged Champions League quarterfinal.
However, this market is structured as a dichotomous prediction: either Barcelona wins or Dortmund wins.
How does that work if the match ends in a draw?
Simple:
• If one team wins the April 9 match, that team is the winner of the market.
• If the match ends in a draw, the winner of the market will be the team that advances to the semifinals after the second leg.
So yes, the match can end in a draw, but the market itself cannot—there will always be a winner, with the team that qualifies used as a tiebreaker.
@RiccardoBoscariol The quarterfinal consists of two matches. What if Dortmund wins the match on April 9, but Barcelona advances to the semifinal because they win the next match with a better goal difference?
In other words: The title clearly states this is about the April 9 match, the description wrongly states there can't be a draw (there can be!), and then goes on to say this resolves to the team which advances. That might be the same team which wins the April 9 match, but might as well not. It's definitely a totally different question.
Please clarify and change title and/or description accordingly.
@Primer • If one of the two teams wins the April 9 match (in regular time), that team is considered the winner of the market.
• If the match ends in a draw, the winner will be determined based on which team advances to the semifinals, according to UEFA rules (aggregate score, away goals if applicable, extra time and penalties if needed).
In short:
• Win the match = win the market.
• Draw = the market rewards the team that qualifies.
@RiccardoBoscariol Ok, thanks for the clarification. It was pretty clear in the description, except for the wording in
⚠️ Important [...] One of the two teams must advance, and that team will be considered the winner for betting purposes.
That's a bit misleading.