Resolves based on the following markets:

Ceasefire market: https://manifold.markets/Balasar/gaza-war-ceasefire-holds-until-eoy

Govt shutdown: Resolves based on trustworthy sources for when the shutdown ends.

Note: If the Gaza War Ceasefire is considered to end much earlier but the market is not resolved (ex: due to an inactive creator or just to let the dust settle), this market will resolve based on the date the ceasefire is considered to end.

If they both end at the same time resolves 50% (on the same day for the purposes of this market)