US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
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αΉ10502029
32%
chance
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This market resolves YES if the United States government provides any form of military aid to Russia during Donald Trump's second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029).
Military aid includes weapons, ammunition, military equipment, training, intelligence sharing specifically for military purposes, or direct financial assistance explicitly for military spending.
Resolution will be based on official US government announcements, or credible news reports from major outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, NYT, WSJ), or official Russian government acknowledgments of receiving such aid.
Sources for tracking US foreign military aid:
The market closes at the end of Trump's term but may resolve earlier if aid is confirmed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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