Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description]
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description]
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ1123
Apr 4
19%
chance

Background

According to Trump Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/27/tiktok-microsoft-trump-ban-china/2b647124-dd2a-11ef-8889-d5c3924edafd_story.html?isMobile=1

Microsoft is currently in talks to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations, as confirmed by former President Donald Trump. This potential acquisition comes amid national security concerns surrounding TikTok. The April 4th deadline was set by the previous extension granted for TikTok to find new ownership. Several other parties, including Perplexity AI, Frank McCourt, and former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, have also expressed interest in acquiring TikTok.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

  • Microsoft successfully completes the acquisition of TikTok's U.S. operations before April 4th, 2025

  • The acquisition is officially announced and confirmed by both parties before the deadline

This market will resolve NO if:

  • Microsoft does not complete the acquisition by April 4th, 2024

  • Another company acquires TikTok before the deadline

  • No acquisition takes place by the deadline

  • The deal falls through or negotiations end without an agreement

Considerations

  • The presence of multiple potential buyers could lead to a bidding war, potentially affecting the timeline

  • Regulatory approvals and national security reviews may impact the completion timeline

  • Previous attempts to acquire TikTok have faced significant regulatory and political hurdles

  • The deadline could potentially be extended again, but this market will resolve based on the current April 4th deadline

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